Using Historical Data to Handicap the Seventh Ward Race” on October 4, 2011

    The conclusion was:

    So, with Paul Sanborn sitting this one out, and Council Member Wendy McCammack taking advantage of Mayor Patrick Morris’ legal difficulties, and Professor Jim Mulvihill not adding any new ideas or tactics from his previous races, it is safe to say that Wendy McCammack will win a fourth term as 7th Ward Council Member.

    Here are the results, again:

    Member, City Council SAN BERNARDINO Ward 7
    20/20 100.00%
    Vote Count Percent
    WENDY J. MCCAMMACK 1,361 57.26%
    JIM MULVIHILL 1,016 42.74%
    Total 2,377 100.00%

     

    As predicted, Wendy McCammack won.  She won by her second highest percentage, and her third highest vote total:

    November 2, 1999: 717 votes, 28.2 percent

    March 7, 2000: 2767 votes, 56.4 percent

    November 2002: 1310 votes, 71.47 percent

    November 2007: 1510 votes, 53.15 percent

    November 8, 2011: 1361 votes, 57.26 percent

     

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